
The following column is reprinted from the Feburary issue of
Providence Monthly (including the stuff my youthful editors somehow deem necessary to leave out):
Eyes Wide OpenBy Scott Duhamel
Despite the steady proliferation of Award’s show, despite the ongoing barrage of awardees, festival winners, on-line accolade bearers, despite the indisputable presence of The Grammy’s, the Tony’s , the Emmy’s, the Golden Globes, the Razzies, even the Eeenie, Meenie, Miney and Moes, none of the competitors hold a candle as a far as prestige, importance, and actual historical significance like the Academy Awards.
The 83rd Annual Oscar show looms in the near distance, and while I should be donning my coolest threads and stepping out to the VMA on Feburary 27th at 6:30 to catch what promises to be an enjoyable and gussied up night of big screen television viewing presented by the Rhode Island International Film Festival group, I’ll be home safely ensconced on the couch, muttering about the pairing of presenters, waiting for the every-so-often potential moment of weirdness or controversy, and feverishly checking off categories on my well-thought-out Oscar ballot. Yes indeed, I’ll be unabashedly basking in my longtime out-of-the-closet inner cinephile nerdiness. Below, a quick overview of the major awards.
Best Picture 127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are Alright
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s BoneShould Win:
The Social Network. It’s racked up $95 million at the box office , and among the Best Picture Nominees, only
True Grit and
Toy Story 3 have earned more, but the former was helmed by the Coens, recent award recipients, and the latter is an animated, and Hollywood just isn’t ready to hand out the Grand Wazoo to an animated feature. Also
The Social Network is director David Fincher’s best achievement so far, and it danced its dexterous fingers all over the current zeitgeist.
Will Win:
The King’s Speech. Hollywood adores all things British, costumed, and historical, and the this one is right up the alley to the vast majority of over-the-hill Academy voters.
Overlooked:
The Ghost Writer, The Town, Carlos.
Best ActorJavier Bardem-
BiutifulJeff Bridges-
True GritJesse Eisenberg-
The Social NetworkColin Firth-
The Kings SpeechJ
James Franco-
127 HoursShould Win: Javier Bardeem. A power house piece of acting that only James Franco came close to matching, and the acting side of the Hollywood elite (including Julia Roberts and Sean Penn) has been touting Bardeem’s turn all over town.
Will Win: Colin Firth. See aforementioned Oscar predilection for all things British.
Overlooked: Ryan Gosling (
Blue Valentine), Mark Wahlberg (
The Fighter), Robert Duval (
Get Low), Michael Douglas (
Solitary Man).
Best ActressAnnette Bening-
The Kids Are Alright.
Nicole Kidman-
Rabbit HoleJennifer Lawrence-
Winter’s BoneNatalie Portman-
Black SwanMichelle Williams-
Blue ValentineShould Win: Annette Bening. A tremendously modulated and affecting performance, plus she’s been nominated three times (
The Grifters, American Beauty, Being Julia) and came up short.
Will Win: Natalie Portman. A bravura, showy turn from a good citizen that has grown up on camera in front of the assembled, her votes will be multiplied by a huge dose of her colleague’s good will.
Overlooked: Julianne Moore (
The Kids Are Alright), Isabelle Huppert (
White Material), Lesley Manville (
Another Year).
Best Supporting ActorChristian Bale-The Fighter
John Hawkes-
Winter’s BoneJeremy Renner-
The TownMark Ruffalo-
The Kids Are AlrightGeoffrey Rush-
The King’s SpeechShould Win: Christian Bale. The eye-popping, in-yer-face, take-this-roll-and-grab-it, most magnetic role playing of the year, hands down, in the strongest category, as Hawkes and Renner did splendid work, and Ruffalo just about (despite Benning’s excellence) walks away with his picture.
Will Win: Geoffrey Rush. Hate to say it (or think it) but add another one to the win column for
The King’s Speech.
Overlooked: Andrew Garfield (
The Social Network), Matt Damon (
True Grit).
Best Supporting ActressAmy Adams-
The FighterHelena Bonham Carter-
The King’s SpeechMelissa Leo-
The FighterHallee Steinfield-
True GritJacki-Weaver-
Animal KingdomShould Win: Melissa Leo.
Will Win: Melissa Leo. She’s a great journeyperson actress, she’s campaigned unabashedly for the honor, and someone has to break up the momentum generated by
The King’s Speech.
Overlooked: Greta Gerwing (
Greenberg), Barbara Hershey (
Black Swan), Mia Wasikowska (
The Kids Are Alright), Ellen Page (
Inception).
DirectorDarren Aronofsky-
Black SwanDavid O. Russell-The Fighter
Tom Hooper-
The King’s SpeechDavid Fincher-
The Social NetworkJoel Coen and Ethan Coen-
True GritShould Win: David Fincher
Will Win: David Fincher. Its Fincher’s turn, although Tom Hooper (
The King’s Speech) will be looking closely over his shoulder.
Overlooked: Christopher Nolan (
Inception)
Original ScreenplayMike Leigh-
Another YearScott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson; story by keith Dorrington, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson-
The FighterChristopher Nolan-
InceptionLisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumber-
The Kids Are AlrightDavid Seidler-
The Kings SpeechShould Win:
Inception. Writer/director Christopher Nolan non-nomination for Best Director is one of the more blatant snubs in recent Oscar history, there may be enough sympathy or fairness votes to throw him the bone that is Best Original Screenplay.
Will Win:
The King’s Speech.
Adapted Screenplay Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufroy-
127 HoursAaron Sorkin-
The Social NetworkMichael Arndt; story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich-
Toy Story 3Joel Coen and Ethan Coen-
True GritDebra Granik and Anne Rosellini-
Winter’s BoneShould Win:
The Social Network.
Will Win:
The Social Network. Hollywood loves it when a premier, big-timey screenwriter like Aaron Sorkin (
For a few Good Men, Charlie Wilson’s War )hooks up successfully with a brainy, independent sort of filmmaker like David Fincher (nominated for
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, equally as well known for
The Fight Club and
Se7en ) and they make hay, and heavy duty ticket sales, together.